Thread: Suburban Kids,buy Large paddock with Know idea.

Same mud, different month?

Where are you now? Did you manage to get back there?

Originally Posted by FenceFurniture

Same mud, different month?

Where are you now? Did you manage to get back there?

We have arrived home safe an sound, (1 pm 26 December).

Think I might welcome the new year in this year [emoji849][emoji849]

Glad you made it. Are the tanks full?

Originally Posted by Pagie

Glad you made it. Are the tanks full?

All tanks that are connected are full [emoji41].

Originally Posted by Simplicity

Are, so I just need to order in some more Luck,

I strongly suspect that the people who determined the 1% Annual Exceedance Probability Flood (aka the 1 in 100 year flood) were working with the 1958 version of Australian Rainfall and Runoff, possibly updated with 1980s surface permeability.


I know that in NSW, the Department of Environment and Planning assume that rain water tanks (compulsory on new suburban builds in NSW) are empty at the start of a 1 in 100 year rainfall event. Go figure ...

Yep just once every Hundred years they said.

Are atheists aloud too build an Ark!

Cheers Matt.

Ps that was about 3pm 2 of January

Just about to hit big time here, lotsa thunder and lightning

IMG_0458.jpg

Originally Posted by Simplicity

Yep just once every Hundred years they said.

Are atheists aloud (sic) too build an Ark!


Ps that was about 3pm 2 of January

Matt,
I've told you before that
1. 1 in 100 doesn't mean 1 in 100 years, it's really just shorthand for an Annual Flood Exceedance Probability (AEP) of 1%. My statistics is not all that good but, your expectation should be that you will experience a 1% AEP event every 30 years or so, or much more frequently if you change catchment areas frequently -- Maribyrnong River in the morning, and the creek on your rural block the next day. Not to mention all the other catchments you crossed on your drive.

2. the 2019 1% AEP rainfall event doesn't take account of the ability of climate change [warmer] air to hold more moisture than air prior not subjected to climate change, i.e. air in 1958 when Australian Rainfall and Runoff was first published. (As far as I can tell, the 1% AEP rainfall event hasn't been updated)

3. and it's not my fault that you didn't dig a set of diversion drains to divert the overland flow away from that sink hole you cut in the slope.



and, if you have the timber, you are allowed to build an ark. You don't have to be an atheist, but IMO it helps.

I have offered you the loan of some boats. Just swim down here and you can row them home. One for each of you.

Well I’m not saying anything about 100 years an bla bla bla, mathematics was not my strong point at school.

But we have been informed too expect the worse again, over the next two days, from the SES Sand bagging has been going on all day in town.

An Sally has made sure we have plenty of Coffee an chocolate,

We are meant too expect 60 mm possibly, tomorrow morning(Sunday from 2am).

See what happens, [emoji849][emoji849][emoji849][emoji167].

Cheers Matt.







Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Matt

I would be checking the tank connections and maximising how much water I could collect. At least, as far as rain is concerned, you now know what to expect: That's half the battle.

Regards
Paul

Originally Posted by Simplicity

... we have been informed too expect the worse again, over the next two days, from the SES

Hi Matt
you now have a few hours warning of what to expect ...

how is construction of those diversion drains getting on?
After the recent downpour, the ground should be soft enough to at least get a start

I could post the boat up to you.

Originally Posted by ian

Hi Matt
you now have a few hours warning of what to expect ...

how is construction of those diversion drains getting on?
After the recent downpour, the ground should be soft enough to at least get a start

They are on the List of things too be done, I’ve just put in 42 Treated pine posts with a further 15 or so too go, an yes the wet has been fantastic in helping me dig the holes(Done by hand be cause I could [emoji849].)

Cheers Matt.
I post some pics later