Thread: CoronaVirus ==> Empty Shelves

Originally Posted by Kuffy

.... he's just a politician but at least he doesn't cower to the left leaning muppets of the press. ...

WOW; you are the first person I have heard describe Rupert and his scribes as "left leaning muppets".

Originally Posted by woodPixel

g. Finding new clients to replace the ones that have begun hibernating.


Yes! I picked up a new actual-real-paying-client on Wednesday. I can eat again! Huzzah!

.... at least for this and next week

Good onya!

Be like LEGO people,people



Cheers Matt.

Originally Posted by GraemeCook

WOW; you are the first person I have heard describe Rupert and his scribes as "left leaning muppets".

I realise that Rupert controls much of the Australian news media, but I was thinking more along the lines of American news such as NBC, CNN or ABC.

Looking again this morning at the modelling for the USA that I have been regularly following, they are still tracking close to the projection of about 70k deaths by 4 August, provided they retain full social distancing to the end of May.

The projection for today (17 April) was about 32K total deaths and Woldometer is reporting about 34.5k. The number bounce around a bit, but at this rate they may do better than Spain and Italy per capita, but the projections for those (see pull down country options) are nearing their peak whereas the USA has a long way to go yet and there is still a lot of upside uncertainty built into the US projections.

Remove the social distancing that is built into the modelling for each of the countries/locations before the end of May and that will produce very different projected outcomes.

See third chart here.

There is a lot of very rich data in the modelling, like the projected peak and ICU bed shortages at peak demand. No wonder Spain, Italy, the UK and New York have struggled as can be clearly seen by pulling down the charts for each of those places.

Note: Many countries, large and small, are included in the modelling, but not Australia. Why am I'm not surprised!

Originally Posted by Kuffy

I realise that Rupert controls much of the Australian news media, but I was thinking more along the lines of American news such as NBC, CNN or ABC.

???

Wall Street Journal
Dow Jones
Fox News
Fox Business

The (London) Times
Sunday Times
Financial Times
The Sun

Are you listing centre right publications in an attempt to sway my view that Trump doesn't cower to "left" leaning muppets of the press? You quoted what I said, I'll give you the benefit of the doubt that you actually read what I said.

according to this source Why B.C.'''s top doctor still believes mass testing isn'''t the way to stop COVID-19 | CBC News the Covid-19 "test" can deliver a false negative result 30% of the time. Just to clarify 30% of patients testing negative to the virus are actually positive to the virus. At that rate of false negatives I think it's more than appropriate that I describe the Covid-19 test as "test".

What is scary, at least for me, is that according to a radio interview with a Canadian virologist on CBC this afternoon (Thursday April 16) the rate of false negatives INCREASES from 10% to 30% as the duration of the infection increases.

Originally Posted by NeilS

As for farts and Covid-19 transmission, according to Norman Swan on the radio this morning, no bare arsed ones within physical distancing guidelines. Done wearing the usual masking apparel on the rear end, no problem!

Good to see, then, that my old mum in the UK is taking the appropriate precautions:

D24418A8-6B11-4C04-ABF8-698531FAF989.jpeg

Remember when we were crowing about ticking over post #1,000?

Remember when we were predicting 100,000 deaths in Australia

Originally Posted by Greg Ward

Remember when we were predicting 100,000 deaths in Australia

Hahaha! I'm glad you said that because I never could have, I would have been shouted down...

Coronavirus live news: Wuhan death toll revised up 50% as China's economy suffers worst fall on record | World news | The Guardian

Originally Posted by Greg Ward

Remember when we were predicting 100,000 deaths in Australia

Actually I don't, but there were all sorts of numbers swirling around before any (or many) preventative steps were taken. When was that?