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Thread: CoronaVirus ==> Empty Shelves
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6th April 2020, 12:44 PM #1291
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6th April 2020 12:44 PM # ADSGoogle Adsense Advertisement
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6th April 2020, 01:04 PM #1292
Looks like there has been some error in the editing of the quoting codes.
Just to make it clear, I did not post anything about young females and g-strings, despite what the quotes are displaying in a couple of posts above.
Maybe a moderator might be able to fix the codes.I got sick of sitting around doing nothing - so I took up meditation.
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6th April 2020, 01:20 PM #1293
Most likely it was a case of Paul unintentionally hitting the multi-quote button and not quite sorting out the consequences of that (multi-quoting is a bit tricky).... So, Woodhutt's start of quote is there above the quote box, but no end of quote, and as a result his quote appears to be attributed to you, Doug.
Stay sharp and stay safe!
Neil
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6th April 2020, 01:30 PM #1294
Thanks Neil and apologies Doug
I did not intentionally change anything. The skill required to multi quote has eluded me for the sixteen years I have contributed to the Forum with the one exception that about a week ago I did successfully do a multi quote, but I still don't know how I did it and have not be able to replicate the task again.
So in short I just hit "reply with quote" and I have absolutely no idea how the two posts became one. Just to state my position on the undies for mask thingy, from my very sheltered perspective, I think they probably look a lot better worn as originally intended: But not on everyone.
Regards
PaulBushmiller;
"Power tends to corrupt. Absolute power corrupts, absolutely!"
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6th April 2020, 01:54 PM #1295
My apologies Doug. I haven't quite got the hang of quoting the post I'm answering. And, for the benefit of other members and/or moderators, Doug did NOT mention young ladies or G-strings. I thought it might raise a smile and apologise for any offence anyone may have experienced. Pete
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6th April 2020, 02:36 PM #1296
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6th April 2020, 03:27 PM #1297Originally Posted by Ned Kelly and his Gang
And, if we happen to have any bushrangers on the forums they can fiddle the codes if they have a mind to do so....Stay sharp and stay safe!
Neil
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6th April 2020, 04:29 PM #1298
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6th April 2020, 04:48 PM #1299
OK, I'm back banging on about modelling.
Please tune out if this is not your thing.
The reported data that we are getting on the number of cases and deaths, etc, tells us what has happened and there is much value in that for us and our governments, and this will also be invaluable for those who manage future pandemics once all the data is in after this one. However, those managing the current crisis don't have the benefit of hindsight (other than from some lesser epidemics over the last few decades) so they are having to make many critical decisions based on the available modelling.
The deputy chief medical officer agreed last week to release the modelling that they are working on, but that has not happened. I suspect that there is disagreement in the inner circle with the timing on that.
On The Drum last Thursday (?) the/a chief modeller expressed the value of having the models that are being used open to the public. In his view, doing so improves compliance with restrictions. I detected a hint of frustration that this has not happened already. No conspiracy theory on this, just a sign that perhaps we have less than the most competent at the helm.
In contrast, NZ has been releasing and updating its modelling since 27 Feb.
COVID-19 Modelling reports | Ministry of Health NZ
Perhaps it is no coincidence that NZ is performing so well. They also learned a very big lesson during the 1918 flu pandemic.
I previously posted a link to some modelling on bed, ICU, ventilator and predicted deaths in the US. So far it has been tracking closely to the predictions. Here is the link again. The third graph shows total deaths. Note: Time-wise the US is behind us by about a day (and much more in other ways... ).
COVID-19
I think someone must have shown Donald Duck some projection curves and it seems that it won't be business as usual again by Easter.
There are of course many issues around modelling. Even the experts in the field admit that it has its flaws as quoted in the following briefing; Epidemic modelers are the first to admit their projections can be off. “All models are wrong, but some are useful”.
Modelling the Coronavirus Pandemic to Guide Policy decisions.
Imperfect as they are models are the best we have to guide our decision making in times like these, otherwise ideology or politicking will prevail with potentially disastrous consequences.
I look forward to finally seeing the modelling that is being used here in Australia.Stay sharp and stay safe!
Neil
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6th April 2020, 04:54 PM #1300
Ok
You blokes totally lost me when you started talking "codes." I am but a simple man who doesn't use a mobile phone. This episode has ruined my self belief to the extent I will never ever quote a post for the rest of the day.
Under the circumstances, I am also no longer going ahead with my request to woodhutt for pictures. Having regard to my current luck it would surely get tacked on to a post from the Benevolent Dictator!
Regards
Paul
PS: At least one person in workplace gets me to test his programmes. His claim is that if they survive me, they are bulletproof.Bushmiller;
"Power tends to corrupt. Absolute power corrupts, absolutely!"
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6th April 2020, 06:27 PM #1301Woodworking mechanic
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6th April 2020, 07:21 PM #1302.
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Yeah - maybe - but I kinda think they might be balanced out by the excess of hypochondriacs that often participate in these self selective surveys .
SWMBO is on her next model of face mask that utilises pieces of the 14 "still in the boxes" Miele Hyclean vac bags we found at MILs during the big clean out.
The mask consists of a tight weave cotton envelope that holds a piece of the Hyclean bag. The claim on these bags is 99.9% of all fine dust - whatever that means (no particle sizes given) , and as I have the test gear I will be measuring this as soon as I get organised.
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6th April 2020, 07:44 PM #1303
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6th April 2020, 07:48 PM #1304
Ha! Funny you should mention this. I saw on some medical forum that is EXACTLY what they are doing.
I noted it as I've a few spare Miele Hyclean bags. The Vac itself is great, but the bags are very nice indeed. Cheap on eBay too.... the knockoffs are cheap, but the originals are cheap enough not to worry too much about the difference.
SWMBO asked a few weeks ago if they could be used for masks.
Funny how things come together! Keen to hear the results of your testing dude.
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7th April 2020, 04:37 PM #1305Stay sharp and stay safe!
Neil
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